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Journal of Systems Science and Complexity

, Volume 31, Issue 3, pp 677–695 | Cite as

Component ACD Model and Its Application in Studying the Price-Related Feedback Effect in Investor Trading Behaviors in Chinese Stock Market

  • Zhiyuan Huang
  • Ai Han
  • Shouyang Wang
Article
  • 45 Downloads

Abstract

This paper explores the investors’ feedback to the price change by modelling the price-related dynamics of trading intensity. A component decomposition duration modeling approach, called the component autoregressive conditional duration (CACD) model, is proposed to capture the variation of trading intensity across time intervals between price change events. Based on the CACD model, an empirical analysis is carried out on the Chinese stock market that covers different market statuses. The empirical results suggest that the CACD model can capture the price-related dynamics of trading intensity, which supports the existence of the feedback effect and is robust across different market statuses. The authors also study how the investors react to the price change by examining the driven factors of the price-related dynamics of trading intensity. The authors find that the trading can be triggered by the fast rise in the price level and the high trading volume. Besides, investors are more sensitive to the price change direction in the sideways market than in the upward or downward markets.

Keywords

Component ACD model feedback effect investor behavior market status trading intensity 

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Notes

Acknowledgements

The authors thank LU Fengbin, XU Dawei and other seminar participants at the Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, for valuable comments.

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Copyright information

© Institute of Systems Science, Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, CAS and Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.School of Economics and ManagementUniversity of Chinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina
  2. 2.Academy of Mathematics and Systems ScienceChinese Academy of SciencesBeijingChina

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