Environmental Science and Pollution Research

, Volume 26, Issue 8, pp 7677–7687 | Cite as

Does asymmetric nexus exist between agricultural land and the housing market? Evidence from non-linear ARDL approach

  • Gizem UzunerEmail author
  • Andrew Alola Adewale
Research Article


Expectedly, urbanization is often associated with constant degradation of natural habitat. In most cases, as demand for housing increases, natural habitat like agricultural land, forestry, and water bodies gradually gives way to building structures. Against this backdrop, the current study investigates the asymmetric nexus of agricultural land and housing market vis-à-vis house prices. The study employed the yearly data from 1976 to 2015 for the case of Sweden and used economic policy uncertainty (EPU) as a control variable in non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) approach. The finding notes a significant and positive short- and long-run relationship between housing price and agricultural land especially when there is a negative shock on agricultural land. But when there is a negative shock on EPU, the impact on housing price is significant and negative for both short run and long run. While an asymmetric long-run relationship is significant and positive between EPU and housing price, such significant occurrence do not exist for agricultural land. Hence, in meeting housing demand and mitigating an escalated growth in house prices, implementation of effective land use policy is encouraged.


Agricultural land House prices Economic policy uncertainty Cointegration NARDL 

JEL classification

C32 Q15 R31 



Authors’ gratitude is extended to Prof. Mehmet Balcilar for his kind mentorship as well as prospective editor and reviewers that will/have spared time to guide toward a successful publication.

Compliance with ethical standards

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.


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Copyright information

© Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of EconomicsEastern Mediterranean UniversityVia Mersin 10Turkey

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