Wireless Personal Communications

, Volume 97, Issue 3, pp 4651–4665 | Cite as

UPTP Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Based on User Preference Under Complexity Environment

  • Zhuoqun Xia
  • Zhenzhen HuEmail author
  • Junpeng Luo


Accurate and reliable vehicle trajectory prediction is a vital component of any intelligent transportation system, which can improve the traffic safety and facilitate effective urban road planning. Because vehicle trajectories are uncertain and are characterized by vulnerability to environmental and user behaviors, they are exceedingly difficult to accurate via modern trajectory prediction technology. This paper proposes a vehicle trajectory prediction method that integrates environmental awareness and user preferences. First,the disutility function value is applied to the logarithmic model to calculate the user path selection probability. Secondly, the SSEM algorithm is used to process the user preferences and obtain a user type distribution. Finally, the optimal variational Gaussian mixture model is used to represent the complex environment, and the obtained user-type distribution is used to implement on-line prediction. The results of a comprehensive evaluation experiment indicate that the proposed method is more accurate than other existing prediction methods.


Environment awareness Users preference Disutility function Vehicle trajectory prediction 



The author would like to thank Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Intelligent Processing of Big Data on Transportation, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha for support.The funding was given by the National Natural Science Foundation of China Grant (61572514), the Hunan Province Natural Science Foundation of China Grant (14JJ7043), the Hunan Province Transportation Department Technological Progress and Innovation Fund of China Grant (201405).


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Hunan Provincial Key Laboratory of Intelligent Processing of Big Data on TransportationChangsha University of Science and TechnologyChangshaChina
  2. 2.School of Computer and Communication EngineeringChangsha University of Science and TechnologyChangshaChina
  3. 3.School of ComputerNational university of defense technologyChangshaChina

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