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Analyzing the Impacts of Climate Change on Hydro-Environmental Conflict-Resolution Management

  • Yuni Xu
  • Xiang FuEmail author
  • Xuefeng Chu
Article
  • 44 Downloads

Abstract

Conflict-resolution methods have been applied to water resources management to balance conflicting interests of stakeholders. Due to the climate change impacts on hydrologic processes, the strategy selections of conflict-resolution methods can be influenced, resulting in different selection rules for historical and future periods. This study aims to quantify the impacts of climate change on the strategy-selection rules of the conflict-resolution methods for better long-term strategic decision-making. The methodology of this study consists of climatic, hydrological, environmental and multi-objective optimization models, two fuzzy social choice methods (FSCMs) and four game-theoretical bargaining methods (GTBMs). The hydro-environmental conflict-resolution management in the Yangtze River of China is selected as the case study. The results show that the strategy selection of GTBMs is more stable and results in a better balance between hydropower and environmental objectives, compared to that of FSCMs. Moreover, considering climate change, under the appropriate environmental flow pattern, the stabilities of the strategy selections of FSCMs and GTBMs are slightly influenced, and the average satisfied degrees of both objectives obtained by FSCMs and GTBMs in the future period (2021-2080) are lower than those in the base period (1950-2012). The findings from this study provide guidance for hydro-environmental conflict-resolution management from a sustainable development perspective.

Keywords

Conflict-resolution method Multi-objective optimization model Climate change Environmental protection Hydropower generation 

Notes

Acknowledgments

This study was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program (No. 2016YFC0401306) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 91647204).

Compliance with Ethical Standards

Conflict of Interest

None.

Supplementary material

11269_2019_2186_MOESM1_ESM.docx (350 kb)
ESM 1 (DOCX 350 kb)

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Copyright information

© Springer Nature B.V. 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.State Key Laboratory of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering ScienceWuhan UniversityWuhanChina
  2. 2.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering (Dept 2470)North Dakota State UniversityFargoUSA

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