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International Tax and Public Finance

, Volume 26, Issue 6, pp 1383–1415 | Cite as

Fiscal stimulus and debt burden: evidence from Thailand’s first-car-buyer tax rebate program

  • Athiphat MuthitacharoenEmail author
  • Krislert Samphantharak
  • Sommarat Chantarat
Article
  • 77 Downloads

Abstract

This paper examines the extent to which a fiscal stimulus involving durable goods induces financial distress and causes debt burden. Using account-level loan data to study the impact of Thailand’s first-car-buyer tax rebate scheme at both individual and postcode levels, we find that the program led to higher loan delinquency and crowded out other loan originations, which are symptoms implied by excessive debt burden. The adverse impacts were more pronounced for passenger car buyers than for truck buyers and there were local negative spillovers to non-participants. Our findings raise questions about the merit of promoting economic growth by inducing debt-fueled spending and suggest that the design of durable goods stimulus policy should focus more on productive business durables than on consumer durables.

Keywords

Fiscal stimulus Debt burden Tax rebate Durable goods Household debt Delinquency Credit bureau data 

JEL Classification

D12 E62 E65 H31 

Notes

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank Thailand’s National Credit Bureau for providing us with the data used in this study as well as useful advice. We are grateful to Atchana Lamsam for her collaboration and insights on the NCB data. Sirirat Sonjai and Bhumjai Tangsawasdirat provided excellent research assistance.

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2019

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Faculty of EconomicsChulalongkorn UniversityBangkokThailand
  2. 2.School of Global Policy and StrategyUniversity of California San DiegoSan DiegoUSA
  3. 3.Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic ResearchBank of ThailandBangkokThailand

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