Abstract
Projecting the changes to water supplies, and our ability to manage those changes, is a worthwhile endeavor given recent data on climate change. The exacerbation of seasonal rainfall variability in a changing climate, as outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), will likely have considerable effects on freshwater systems and aggravate other existing stresses to water supplies.
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Notes
- 1.
Water sharing agreements are defined synonymously with institutions as binding arrangements, typically called treaties or conventions.
- 2.
Resiliency is defined as the ability to mitigate conflict or adapt to stress (in particular, hydrologic) or changing circumstances.
- 3.
Failure in this study is defined as the measurable exhibition of conflict, especially when directly attributed to climate-related stress within a system.
- 4.
The PDSI was selected from three different modeling approaches (PDSI, remotely sensed surface wetness, and water balance) with the aim of simulating past hydrological time series. Each was analyzed for their suitability for this study, with the PDSI selected as the most appropriate.
- 5.
Several combinations of independent and dependent variables are used to extract regression coefficients. Generally, the dependent variable incorporates the conflictive events within the BAR, while the independent variables are formed from the seven treaty mechanisms, power differences between the signatories, and hydrologic stresses to the system.
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Zentner, M. (2011). Introduction. In: Design and impact of water treaties. Springer Theses. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-23743-0_1
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-23743-0_1
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