Skip to main content

Travel Time Prediction for Trams in Warsaw

  • Conference paper
  • First Online:

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 578))

Abstract

The paper presents a comparison between different prediction methods for trams time travels in Warsaw. Predictions are constructed based on historical trams GPS positions. Three different prediction approaches were implemented and compared with the official timetables and real time travels. Obtained results show that the official timetables provides only approximated time travel especially in rush hours. Proposed prediction methods outperform the official schedule in the term of time travel precision and may be used as a more accurate source of travel time for passengers.

The research has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 688380.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.

Buying options

Chapter
USD   29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD   169.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD   219.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Learn about institutional subscriptions

References

  1. Altinkaya, M., Zontul, M.: Urban bus arrival time prediction: a review of computational models. Int. J. Recent Technol. Eng. (IJRTE) 2(4), 164–169 (2013)

    Google Scholar 

  2. Central statistical office of Poland: area and population in the territorial profile in 2016. Statistical Information and Elaborations, Warsaw (2016). http://stat.gov.pl/en/topics/population/population/area-and-population-in-the-territorial-profile-in-2016,4,10.html

  3. Chen, M., Chien, S.: Dynamic freeway travel time prediction using probe vehicle data: link-based vs. path-based. In: Transportation Research Board 80th Annual Meeting (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  4. Chien, S.I.J., Ding, Y., Wei, C.: Dynamic bus arrival time prediction with artificial neural networks. J. Transp. Eng. 128(5), 429–438 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. D’Angelo, M., Al-Deek, H., Wang, M.: Travel-time prediction for freeway corridors. Transp. Res. Rec. J. Transp. Res. Board 1676, 184–191 (1999)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Gurmu, Z.K., Fan, W.D.: Artificial neural network travel time prediction model for buses using only gps data. J. Public Transp. 17(2), 45–65 (2014)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Haykin, S.: Neural Networks: A Comprehensive Foundation. Prentice Hall PTR, Upper Saddle River (1998)

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  8. Liu, H., van Zuylen, H., van Lint, H., Salomons, M.: Predicting urban arterial travel time with state-space neural networks and kalman filters. Transp. Res. Rec. J. Transp. Res. Board 1968, 99–108 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Patnaik, J., Chien, S., Bladikas, A.: Estimation of bus arrival times using APC data. J. Public Transp. 7(1), 1–20 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. PBS Sp. z o.o.: Warszawskie badanie ruchu, Cracow University of Technology, Warsaw University of Technology (2015). http://transport.um.warszawa.pl/wbr2015. Accessed 10 Dec 2016

  11. Ramakrishna, Y., Ramakrishna, P., Lakshmanan, V., Sivanandan, R.: Bus travel time prediction using gps data. Proceedings Map India (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Van Lint, J., Hoogendoorn, S., van Zuylen, H.J.: Accurate freeway travel time prediction with state-space neural networks under missing data. Transp. Res. Part C: Emerg. Technol. 13(5), 347–369 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  13. Weigang, L., Koendjbiharie, W., de M Juca, R., Yamashita, Y., MacIver, A.: Algorithms for estimating bus arrival times using gps data. In: Proceedings of the IEEE 5th International Conference on Intelligent Transportation Systems, pp. 868–873. IEEE (2002)

    Google Scholar 

  14. Williams, B.M., Hoel, L.A.: Modeling and forecasting vehicular traffic flow as a seasonal arima process: theoretical basis and empirical results. J. Transp. Eng. 129(6), 664–672 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  15. Wu, C.H., Ho, J.M., Lee, D.T.: Travel-time prediction with support vector regression. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 5(4), 276–281 (2004)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  16. Yang, J.S.: Travel time prediction using the gps test vehicle and kalman filtering techniques. In: Proceedings of the 2005, American Control Conference, pp. 2128–2133. IEEE (2005)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Adam Zychowski .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG

About this paper

Cite this paper

Zychowski, A., Junosza-Szaniawski, K., Kosicki, A. (2018). Travel Time Prediction for Trams in Warsaw. In: Kurzynski, M., Wozniak, M., Burduk, R. (eds) Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on Computer Recognition Systems CORES 2017. CORES 2017. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 578. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59162-9_6

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-59162-9_6

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-59161-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-59162-9

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics